The Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) is the standard metric used to define the phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). RONI replaced ONI in February 2026.
It is a measure of how anomalously warm or cool the central-to-eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean is relative to the rest of the global tropics, smoothed out across three months to reduce noise and spikes.
Products on this page utilize the NOAA Climate Prediction Center methodology for evaluating ENSO (see first two bullets at bottom of page):
Note that values prior to 1940 have greater uncertainty -- use with caution.
All values are included in a data file at the bottom of the page.
RONI ≥ 0.5°C indicate El Niño, values ≤ -0.5°C indicate La Niña, and values in between indicate a Neutral phase.