The following are some current and prior research areas and relevant peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations:

• Tropical cyclone model simulations, diagnostics, and validation
  • The role of graupel in facilitating tropical cyclone rapid intensification as seen in idealized simulations, Nebylitsa et al. 2026
  • Rapid versus slow intensification of idealized tropical cyclones using soundings from reanalysis, Nebylitsa et al. 2025
  • The vortex structure and near-surface winds of Typhoon Faxai (2019) during landfall. Part II: Evaluation of WRF simulations, Takahashi et al. 2024
  • Modulation of tropical cyclone rapid intensification by mesoscale asymmetries, Nolan et al. 2024
  • Evaluation of the surface wind field over land in WRF simulations of Hurricane Wilma (2005), Nolan et al. 2021a, Nolan et al. 2021b
  • An evaluation of satellite-derived atmospheric motion vectors (AMV) characteristics in tropical cyclones using TCI HDSS dropsondes, McNoldy et al. 2018
  • Toward better simulations of hurricane winds in urban canopies, Knievel et al. 2018
  • Assessing the accuracy of the cloud and water vapor fields in the HWRF model, Otkin et al. 2017
  • A highly configurable vortex initialization method for tropical cyclones, McNoldy et al. 2013, McNoldy et al. 2014
  • Diagnostics and verification of the tropical cyclone environment in regional models, McNoldy et al. 2012
  • Creation of a statistical ensemble for tropical cyclone intensity prediction, Musgrave et al. 2012
  • On the display of tropical cyclone model ensemble structure information, Musgrave et al. 2011
  • HWRF performance diagnostics from the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season, McNoldy et al. 2010
  • Statistical evaluation of the response of intensity to large-scale forcing in the 2008 operational HWRF model, DeMaria and McNoldy 2009
  
  
• Tropical cyclone hazard communication, risk perception, and forecast value
  • Hurricane Hunters and economic value of augmented observations for hurricane forecasts, Molina et al. 2026
  • Pivoting Jamaica's healthcare delivery in the aftermath of Hurricane Melissa: Resilience in the face of adversity, Dawkins-Wright et al. 2026
  • Visualizing weather risks: A user-centered design approach to hurricane threat graphics, Millet et al. 2026
  • Redrawing risks: How professional users interpret and use an iteratively redesigned Hurricane Threats and Impacts graphic, Prestley et al. 2025
  • Dynamic communication of weather risk: A user-centered design approach, McNoldy et al. 2024
  • Exploring the impact of visualization design on non-expert interpretation of hurricane forecast path, Millet et al. 2022
  • An interdisciplinary approach to evaluate public comprehension of the "Cone of Uncertainty" graphic, Evans et al. 2022
  • Striving for improvement: The perceived value of improving hurricane forecast accuracy, Molina et al. 2021
  • A cognitive-affective scale for hurricane risk perception, Trumbo et al. 2016
  
  
• Tropical cyclone analysis and forecasting using artificial intelligence models
  • Tropical cyclone wind field diagnosis with Image-To-Image models, Ollier et al. 2026
  • Tropical cyclone wind field diagnosis with Image-To-Image models, Nolan et al. 2026
  • Image2Image tropical cyclone wind field diagnosis, Ollier et al. 2026
  • Advancing hurricane prediction capabilities through a global weather foundation model, Patel et al. 2026
  • Image2Image tropical cyclone wind field diagnosis with Pix2Pix generative adversarial networks (GANs), Ollier et al. 2025
  
  
• Tropical cyclone data assimilation and remote sensing
  • A study of the HWRF analysis and forecast impact of realistically simulated CYGNSS observations assimilated at scalar wind speeds and as VAM wind vectors, Annane et al. 2018
  • Variational analysis of simulated ocean surface winds from the Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) and evaluation using a regional OSSE, Leidner et al. 2018
  • Impact of assimilating CYGNSS data on tropical cyclone analyses and forecasts in a regional OSSE framework, McNoldy et al. 2017, McNoldy et al. 2016, McNoldy et al. 2015
  • Evaluation of the impact of CYGNSS wind speed data on tropical cyclone structure analyses and forecasts in a regional OSSE, McNoldy et al. 2016
  • Observing System Simulation Experiments to evaluate the potential impact of proposed observing systems on hurricane prediction, Atlas et al. 2014
  
  
• Tropical cyclone inner core structure (eyewalls, eye)
  • Tertiary eyewalls: Observations and boundary layer response, Abarca et al. 2014
  • Observed inner-core structural variability in Hurricane Dolly (2008), Hendricks et al. 2012
  • Spontaneous-adjustment emission of inertia-gravity waves by unsteady vortical motion in the hurricane core, Hendricks et al. 2010
  • On the distribution of subsidence in the hurricane eye, Schubert et al. 2007
  • Rapid filamentation zones in intense tropical cyclones, Rozoff et al. 2006
  • Potential vorticity rings and eye subsidence, Schubert et al. 2006
  • Triple eyewall in Hurricane Juliette, McNoldy 2004
  • Vortical swirls in hurricane eye clouds, Kossin et al. 2002
  
  
• Tropical cyclone theoretical dynamics
  • Shock-like structures in the tropical cyclone bounday layer, Williams et al. 2013
  • Time evolution of the intensity and size of tropical cyclones, Musgrave et al. 2012
  • Application of the concepts of Rossby length and Rossby depth to tropical cyclone dynamics, Schubert and McNoldy 2010
  • A classification of binary tropical-cyclone-like vortex interactions, (supplement), Prieto et al. 2003
  
  
• Regional weather and climatology
  • Increased nighttime land surface temperatures and thermal discomfort in a seasonally muggy climate, Muse et al. 2025
  • A novel 75-year database and climatology of heat index values in Miami, McNoldy and Molleda 2022
  • Dynamic adjustments to short-term NOAA tide predictions using a multiple linear regression model, Taminger et al. 2022
  • Seasonal variability and trends of the Miami urban heat island, Kedzuf et al. 2018
  • A high wind statistical prediction model for the Northern Front Range of Colorado, Lindsey et al. 2011
  • Precipitation characteristics of the San Luis Valley during Summer 2006, McNoldy and Doesken 2007
  • July 2005 Denver heat wave: How unusual was it?, Pielke et al. 2007
  
  
• North American monsoon
  • Multiscale variability of the flow during the North American Monsoon Experiment, Johnson et al. 2007
  • Diurnal cycle of sea surface winds and temperatures during the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment, McNoldy et al. 2006
  • An observational analysis of two Gulf surge events during the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment, Rogers et al. 2005
  • Gulf surges, the diurnal cycle, and convective outflows as revealed by the NCAR ISSs in NAME, Johnson et al. 2005
  • The low-level circulation of the North American Monsoon as revealed by QuikSCAT, Bordoni et al. 2004
  
  
• Experimental fluid dynamics
  • Design and construction of an affordable rotating table for classroom demonstrations of geophysical fluid dynamics principles, (supplement), McNoldy et al. 2003
  
  
• Sub-tropical anticyclones and stratocumulus regimes
  • Surface winds, divergence, and vorticity in stratocumulus regimes using QuikSCAT and reanalysis winds, McNoldy et al. 2004